The Cards Will Predict Holiday Performance


By George Anderson
Retailers will find that their business fate this holiday season is all in the cards, not the Tarot variety, but gift cards.
According to Deloitte & Touche, gift cards will be the number one gift this holiday season, with 67 percent of consumers giving an average of 4.9 cards.
Pat Conroy, vice chairman and national managing principal for Deloitte’s Consumer Business industry practice indicated that retailers were stepping up marketing efforts for their gift cards while looking to make it easier for consumers to buy and redeem them.
“Look for retailers to offer innovative promotional campaigns for gift cards this year, because these cards have become such a favorite with shoppers,” he said. “Online redemptions, co-branding and personalization of cards are some of the features that successful retailers are initiating this year,” he added.
The growing use of gift cards has increased the importance of the post-holiday period when consumers begin to redeem them. Many, reports Deloitte, never redeem them. According to the firm’s Holiday Mood Survey, half of respondents have unredeemed cards and some have cards that have gone unredeemed for five or more years.
Another study, this one conducted by Stored Value Systems, finds that young consumers between the ages of 5 and 14 are often the recipients of gift cards and they are likely to redeem them and quickly.
According to the study’s findings, 80 percent of children have received gift cards from their parents or someone else. Seven in 10 who receive gift cards redeem them within a month.
Moderator’s Comment: How have gift cards changed retailing during the holidays? What strategies/tactics can retailers use to try and build demand for
their gift cards? –
George Anderson – Moderator
- 20th Anniversary Deloitte Annual Holiday
Mood Survey Shows Consumers More Focused on Philanthropic Giving than Holiday Entertaining – Deloitte & Touche USA LLP/PRNewswire - Survey Shows 86% of Children 5-14 Have Given, Received Gift Cards – Stored Value Systems
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This phenomenon has been around for years, but is just now catching-on. Best Buy, Circuit City, Target and the large mass stores have recognized this as a cash cow, since they can record the cash asset now, and just keep the legal obligation on the books for a limited time. Redemption is markedly less than 100%, and this results in a bottom line which is better than almost everything else in the store, since you must include the store’s margins in addition to the lack of redemptions. Even fast food chains like Jack in the Box are now getting involved! The term “cash is king” has never been more appropriate when applied to these “cards”.
Gift cards are a win-win situation for retailers as well as consumers. The gift card is the perfect fall-back and last minute convenient gift for the consumer. Retailers win because they create revenue by selling the specified amount loaded onto the card. I believe the most important gain is realized when the consumer spends over the amount on the card. The focus for retailers should be on how to get the consumer to use the card. Consumers are more likely to spend more when redeeming a gift card and the key for retailers is to capture this hidden value. How long will it take for all fast food companies to jump on the gift card train and cash in?
Gift cards are the next logical step in turning what was once a significant holiday occasion for some people into a commercial obligation for many people. I hope that is sufficiently succinct – no need to elaborate.
Gift cards will continue to change the retail landscape by making the Dec. 26 – Jan. 15 period very critical. We should not be surprised when in a few years we see some retailers showing stronger retail sales for the period after Christmas than before. In the end, it will mean retailers with a typical year-end of Jan. 31 will need to manage their inventories even tighter and become even more adept at watching price points, etc.
Gift cards have definitely changed the holiday shopping mix. One thing they do is make it easier for non-shoppers to do their shopping – get a gift card for someone to their favorite store and, POOF, shopping is done. But, they tend to de-personalize the experience and the fact that so many go unredeemed for such long periods tells us that maybe we all have too much stuff. Gift cards might just be sending consumers a subtle message that they don’t need to shop so much.
Retailers who don’t offer gift cards are definitely missing significant sales and an opportunity for “prepaid cash flow”. Retailers who charge service fees after a period of inactivity are giving every card-selling retailer a bad name. The anger and backlash is growing. At least one State has moved to restrict the fees retailer can charge for inactivity.
Demand for the cards is related to demand for the store itself. I would guess Wal-Mart is the leader when it comes to gift cards. To me, gift cards have dumbed-down Christmas. Not much thought or creativity goes into it. Still better than not getting anything.